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Red101
106530.3
223426.3
159229.9
Blue14
456212.0
519616.2
264123.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8544010015020010114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.31.4
28.830.1
Auto1.0
Teleop29.3
End0.0
red by 6.8
2641
#19
23.51.5
24.122.6
Auto0.7
Teleop22.8
End0.0
Second
29.91.4
26.928.3
Auto1.0
Teleop28.9
End0.0
red by 13.7
5196
#34
16.21.5
15.914.5
Auto0.3
Teleop15.9
End0.0
Third
26.31.4
26.327.6
Auto1.1
Teleop25.1
End0.0
red by 14.3
4562
#48
12.01.5
12.411.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.1
End0.0