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Red0
162219.4
565510.4
15913.0
Blue14
21529.7
61217.7
365312.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32440206080100120140160014

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1622
#31
19.41.9
15.713.8
Auto0.1
Teleop19.3
End0.0
red by 1.7
612
#26
17.72.5
18.115.6
Auto0.7
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Second
159
#40
13.01.9
10.68.7
Auto0.8
Teleop12.1
End0.0
red by 0.5
3653
#33
12.42.5
12.29.7
Auto0.1
Teleop12.3
End0.0
Third
5655
#44
10.42.2
4.46.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop10.7
End0.0
red by 0.7
2152
#46
9.72.5
13.310.8
Auto0.1
Teleop9.6
End0.0