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Red20
38625.7
55911.6
21529.7
Blue24
125116.2
547212.5
532911.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333902060801001201402024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
#18
25.71.1
20.419.3
Auto1.5
Teleop24.1
End0.0
red by 9.5
1251
#38
16.21.1
16.315.2
Auto0.5
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Second
2152
#46
9.71.1
12.411.4
Auto0.1
Teleop9.6
End0.0
blue by 2.8
5472
#35
12.51.1
12.211.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0
Third
5591
#50
1.61.1
1.90.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop1.8
End0.0
blue by 9.5
5329
#29
11.11.1
10.79.6
Auto0.7
Teleop10.4
End0.0