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Red44
12518.3
401318.3
238329.4
Blue83
451611.9
341022.8
316420.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions624101001502004483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2383
#11
29.40.4
26.325.9
Auto6.8
Teleop22.6
End0.0
red by 6.6
3410
#17
22.82.7
19.922.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Second
4013
#21
18.30.4
17.317.0
Auto0.1
Teleop18.2
End0.0
blue by 2.2
3164
#22
20.52.7
16.919.6
Auto0.5
Teleop20.0
End0.0
Third
125
#39
18.30.4
17.417.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop18.7
End0.0
red by 6.4
4516
#27
11.92.7
9.111.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop12.4
End0.0