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Red65
45174.4
532911.1
159229.9
Blue32
341022.8
49535.7
32335.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443002060801001201406532

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.91.4
28.329.7
Auto1.0
Teleop28.9
End0.0
red by 7.1
3410
#17
22.80.1
22.622.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Second
5329
#29
11.11.4
9.611.1
Auto0.7
Teleop10.4
End0.0
red by 5.3
4953
#42
5.70.1
5.85.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.8
End0.0
Third
4517
#47
4.41.4
5.46.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop4.9
End0.0
blue by 0.7
3233
#49
5.10.1
5.25.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop5.4
End0.0