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Red60
55911.6
164915.2
34837.4
Blue66
18019.2
316420.5
459217.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4555020801001201401606066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
348
#4
37.40.8
33.334.1
Auto0.5
Teleop36.8
End0.0
red by 16.9
3164
#22
20.50.7
19.620.3
Auto0.5
Teleop20.0
End0.0
Second
1649
#25
15.20.8
14.515.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.5
End0.0
blue by 4.0
180
#36
19.20.7
18.319.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop19.2
End0.0
Third
5591
#50
1.60.8
0.81.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop1.8
End0.0
blue by 15.8
4592
#20
17.40.7
17.318.0
Auto0.0
Teleop17.4
End0.0