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Red60
162219.4
71412.3
5923.2
Blue69
547212.5
447125.3
8714.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474745505560656069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59
#12
23.21.6
20.021.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop23.7
End0.0
blue by 2.1
25.31.4
24.626.0
Auto0.1
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Second
1622
#31
19.41.6
17.919.4
Auto0.1
Teleop19.3
End0.0
red by 5.2
87
#28
14.21.4
12.814.2
Auto0.1
Teleop14.1
End0.0
Third
714
#43
12.31.6
10.712.3
Auto0.9
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 0.2
5472
#35
12.51.4
11.112.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0