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Red99
159229.9
74446.3
316420.5
Blue131
238329.4
26335.2
38625.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions958005015020099131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
744
#1
46.30.2
46.146.3
Auto0.6
Teleop45.6
End0.0
red by 11.1
263
#6
35.20.9
33.634.4
Auto2.1
Teleop33.1
End0.0
Second
29.90.2
29.729.9
Auto1.0
Teleop28.9
End0.0
red by 0.5
2383
#11
29.40.9
27.628.5
Auto6.8
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Third
3164
#22
20.50.2
20.320.5
Auto0.5
Teleop20.0
End0.0
blue by 5.2
386
#18
25.70.9
23.924.8
Auto1.5
Teleop24.1
End0.0