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Red5
476911.9
435212.4
301113.8
Blue64
155714.9
364631.6
365913.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2832050100150200564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3011
#56
13.82.1
10.38.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.8
End0.0
blue by 17.9
31.62.6
11.614.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop31.7
End0.0
Second
4352
#61
12.42.1
10.07.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0
blue by 2.5
1557
#43
14.92.6
13.015.6
Auto0.9
Teleop14.0
End0.0
Third
4769
#57
11.92.1
9.67.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 1.8
3659
#53
13.62.6
8.110.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.8
End0.0