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Red29
215212.9
138218.3
11624.6
Blue68
10328.8
476911.9
355621.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions536201001502002968

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116
#28
24.60.2
24.924.6
Auto0.1
Teleop24.6
End0.0
blue by 4.2
103
#11
28.80.3
28.328.6
Auto0.9
Teleop27.9
End0.0
Second
1382
#41DQ
18.30.2
18.518.3
Auto0.6
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 3.0
3556
#31
21.30.4
22.823.1
Auto0.2
Teleop21.1
End0.0
Third
2152
#60
12.90.2
13.112.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.0
End0.0
red by 1.0
4769
#57
11.90.4
11.511.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.3
End0.0