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Red56
316420.9
136919.4
301113.8
Blue112
297449.3
445147.8
56463.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4497015020056112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3164
#36
20.90.1
20.820.9
Auto0.5
Teleop20.3
End0.0
blue by 28.4
49.31.3
45.046.3
Auto0.1
Teleop49.1
End0.0
Second
1369
#23
19.40.1
19.319.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop19.9
End0.0
blue by 28.4
47.81.0
45.346.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop48.3
End0.0
Third
3011
#56
13.80.1
13.814.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.8
End0.0
red by 10.6
5646
#64
3.11.3
1.83.1
Auto0.8
Teleop2.3
End0.0