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Red99
279717.1
8627.6
519620.7
Blue130
364631.6
242522.8
38629.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5377010015020099130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86
#25
27.62.7
25.528.2
Auto0.0
Teleop27.5
End0.0
blue by 4.1
31.63.6
29.933.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop31.7
End0.0
Second
5196
#32
20.72.0
18.720.7
Auto0.4
Teleop20.3
End0.0
blue by 9.2
386
#18
29.92.7
27.329.9
Auto0.5
Teleop29.5
End0.0
Third
2797
#44
17.12.7
14.417.1
Auto0.1
Teleop17.0
End0.0
blue by 5.7
2425
#14
22.83.6
19.122.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.0
End0.0