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Red43
94512.3
393210.9
10328.8
Blue26
7917.3
56463.1
301113.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443102060801001204326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#11
28.80.0
19.519.5
Auto0.9
Teleop27.9
End0.0
red by 11.5
79
#42
17.30.7
18.517.9
Auto0.3
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Second
945
#49
12.30.0
13.012.9
Auto0.7
Teleop11.5
End0.0
blue by 1.5
3011
#56
13.80.7
8.27.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.8
End0.0
Third
3932
#51
10.90.0
10.810.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.3
End0.0
red by 7.8
5646
#64
3.10.7
7.16.4
Auto0.8
Teleop2.3
End0.0