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Red10
159231.3
562815.1
355621.3
Blue32
409113.8
547221.1
528326.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435201001502001032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1592
#20
31.31.7
28.426.8
Auto0.6
Teleop30.7
End0.0
red by 4.6
5283
#27
26.71.1
24.723.5
Auto0.2
Teleop26.5
End0.0
Second
3556
#31
21.32.5
10.88.3
Auto0.2
Teleop21.1
End0.0
red by 0.2
5472
#15
21.11.1
14.513.4
Auto0.1
Teleop21.0
End0.0
Third
5628
#38
15.12.5
6.84.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.2
End0.0
red by 1.3
4091
#39
13.81.7
13.411.7
Auto0.2
Teleop13.6
End0.0