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Red59
447129.7
94512.3
527610.7
Blue107
316420.9
164925.6
138218.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4349010015020059107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4471
#21
29.70.8
22.223.0
Auto0.1
Teleop29.7
End0.0
red by 4.1
1649
#12
25.62.9
16.719.6
Auto0.9
Teleop24.7
End0.0
Second
945
#49
12.31.2
12.914.1
Auto0.7
Teleop11.5
End0.0
blue by 8.6
3164
#36
20.93.2
21.424.6
Auto0.5
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Third
5276
#45
10.71.2
10.011.1
Auto1.0
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 7.5
1382
#41
18.34.8
11.416.2
Auto0.6
Teleop17.7
End0.0