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Red85
362723.0
164925.6
324228.4
Blue125
365323.4
297449.3
393210.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60440208010012014085125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3242
#30
28.41.3
26.728.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.5
End0.0
blue by 20.8
49.36.4
25.531.9
Auto0.1
Teleop49.1
End0.0
Second
1649
#12
25.61.3
19.620.8
Auto0.9
Teleop24.7
End0.0
red by 2.2
3653
#10
23.43.9
13.717.6
Auto0.4
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Third
3627
#26
23.02.1
13.715.8
Auto0.2
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 12.0
3932
#51
10.93.9
8.712.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.3
End0.0