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Red78
411833.5
519620.7
409113.8
Blue70
561617.5
301113.8
362723.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52300204060801001201407870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4118
#17
33.52.3
21.824.1
Auto0.8
Teleop32.7
End0.0
red by 10.5
3627
#26
23.03.0
19.322.3
Auto0.2
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Second
5196
#32
20.71.4
17.418.8
Auto0.4
Teleop20.3
End0.0
red by 3.3
5616
#47
17.53.0
9.912.9
Auto0.1
Teleop17.4
End0.0
Third
4091
#39
13.82.3
11.213.5
Auto0.2
Teleop13.6
End0.0
Level
3011
#56
13.83.0
5.28.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.8
End0.0