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Red25
399816.5
10328.8
38629.9
Blue48
406412.8
125124.5
187635.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625502040801001201402548

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
#18
29.91.9
24.622.7
Auto0.5
Teleop29.5
End0.0
blue by 5.6
1876
#16
35.50.5
32.331.8
Auto0.9
Teleop34.7
End0.0
Second
103
#11
28.81.9
24.522.5
Auto0.9
Teleop27.9
End0.0
red by 4.3
1251
#22
24.50.5
21.521.0
Auto0.6
Teleop23.9
End0.0
Third
3998
#46
16.53.2
14.411.2
Auto0.4
Teleop16.0
End0.0
red by 3.7
4064
#52
12.80.8
4.33.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.9
End0.0