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Qual 652015 Orlando Regional
Red30
279717.1
316420.9
40657.6
Blue8
29169.9
435212.4
409113.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45400206080100120308

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3164
#36
20.90.8
21.4→20.6
Auto0.5
Teleop20.3
End0.0
red by 7.1
4091
#39
13.82.9
13.5→10.6
Auto0.2
Teleop13.6
End0.0
Second
2797
#44
17.11.3
14.6→13.3
Auto0.1
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 4.6
4352
#61
12.42.9
13.9→11.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0
Third
4065
#63
7.61.3
9.8→8.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop7.8
End0.0
blue by 2.3
2916
#55
9.92.9
15.1→12.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.1
End0.0