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Red47
40657.6
528326.7
355621.3
Blue82
514517.0
187635.5
49019.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58562040801001204782

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5283
#27
26.70.3
29.228.9
Auto0.2
Teleop26.5
End0.0
blue by 8.9
1876
#16
35.51.1
33.334.4
Auto0.9
Teleop34.7
End0.0
Second
3556
#31
21.30.4
20.520.1
Auto0.2
Teleop21.1
End0.0
red by 4.3
5145
#34
17.01.7
18.920.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Third
4065
#63
7.60.4
8.58.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop7.8
End0.0
blue by 2.1
4901
#50
9.71.1
7.78.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.8
End0.0