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Qual 82015 Orlando Regional
Red38
365323.4
84630.1
402411.6
Blue7
561617.5
527610.7
215212.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions442206080100120140387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#24
30.10.3
21.8→21.4
Auto0.7
Teleop29.4
End0.0
red by 12.6
5616
#47
17.510.0
17.5→7.5
Auto0.1
Teleop17.4
End0.0
Second
3653
#10
23.40.3
12.4→12.2
Auto0.4
Teleop23.0
End0.0
red by 10.5
2152
#60
12.90.8
9.7→8.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.0
End0.0
Third
4024
#37
11.60.3
8.0→7.6
Auto0.0
Teleop11.5
End0.0
red by 0.8
5276
#45
10.71.1
7.7→6.6
Auto1.0
Teleop9.8
End0.0