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Red40
190228.0
462212.0
519620.7
Blue16
409113.8
428813.7
476911.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions643002040801001201401604016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1902
#13
28.01.0
27.026.0
Auto0.5
Teleop27.5
End0.0
red by 14.2
4091
#39
13.81.6
10.69.1
Auto0.2
Teleop13.6
End0.0
Second
5196
#32
20.71.0
21.220.1
Auto0.4
Teleop20.3
End0.0
red by 7.1
4288
#54
13.71.6
16.014.4
Auto0.2
Teleop13.5
End0.0
Third
4622
#58
12.01.6
12.711.1
Auto0.1
Teleop11.9
End0.0
red by 0.2
4769
#57
11.91.6
9.47.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.3
End0.0