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Red37
7917.3
324228.4
279717.1
Blue86
138218.3
547221.1
159231.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65690501001502003786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3242
#30
28.41.5
30.328.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.5
End0.0
blue by 2.8
1592
#20
31.30.8
31.332.1
Auto0.6
Teleop30.7
End0.0
Second
79
#42
17.32.2
20.918.7
Auto0.3
Teleop17.0
End0.0
blue by 3.8
5472
#15
21.10.8
21.822.6
Auto0.1
Teleop21.0
End0.0
Third
2797
#44
17.12.2
16.614.4
Auto0.1
Teleop17.0
End0.0
blue by 1.2
1382
#41
18.31.1
17.418.5
Auto0.6
Teleop17.7
End0.0