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Red120
34337.8
418831.0
10827.4
Blue87
560829.6
446829.6
365327.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9080406010012014016018012087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#13
37.80.5
36.236.7
Auto1.7
Teleop36.1
End0.0
red by 8.2
5608
#14
29.60.1
28.628.7
Auto0.0
Teleop29.6
End0.0
Second
31.00.5
29.329.8
Auto0.1
Teleop30.9
End0.0
red by 1.3
29.60.1
28.628.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.7
End0.0
Third
108
#15
27.40.5
25.726.2
Auto0.7
Teleop26.7
End0.0
blue by 0.5
3653
#26
27.80.0
27.127.2
Auto0.1
Teleop27.7
End0.0