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Red16
164823.7
55369.0
41934.2
Blue9
39763.9
401323.6
49107.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51210406080100120140169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1648
#34
23.71.3
24.723.4
Auto0.5
Teleop23.2
End0.0
red by 0.1
4013
#24
23.60.6
17.717.1
Auto0.0
Teleop23.6
End0.0
Second
5536
#59
9.01.3
12.311.0
Auto0.1
Teleop8.9
End0.0
red by 1.1
4910
#53
7.91.0
7.06.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.9
End0.0
Third
4193
#66
4.22.2
11.18.9
Auto0.1
Teleop4.1
End0.0
red by 0.3
3976
#56
3.90.7
1.71.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop4.0
End0.0