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Red12
38612.6
39763.9
533227.0
Blue26
331823.1
445919.9
11272.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32260102040506070801226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5332
#16
27.01.0
23.522.5
Auto0.1
Teleop26.9
End0.0
red by 3.9
3318
#19
23.10.3
12.813.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop23.2
End0.0
Second
3976
#56
3.91.1
1.0-0.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop4.0
End0.0
blue by 16.0
4459
#29
19.90.3
7.47.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.0
End0.0
Third
3861
#63
2.61.7
7.96.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop2.6
End0.0
red by 0.6
1127
#64
2.00.3
7.98.3
Auto0.1
Teleop1.9
End0.0