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Red32
331823.1
401323.6
500510.9
Blue48
38159.4
365327.8
174631.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385801001502002503248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4013
#24
23.60.6
18.317.7
Auto0.0
Teleop23.6
End0.0
blue by 8.2
1746
#17
31.70.5
26.025.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop31.8
End0.0
Second
3318
#19
23.10.9
14.914.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop23.2
End0.0
blue by 4.7
3653
#26
27.80.5
23.423.0
Auto0.1
Teleop27.7
End0.0
Third
5005
#55
10.90.9
9.58.6
Auto0.0
Teleop10.9
End0.0
red by 1.5
3815
#54
9.40.8
7.87.0
Auto0.1
Teleop9.3
End0.0