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Qual 332015 Peachtree Regional
Red0
408010.4
470718.2
474916.6
Blue44
34337.8
55369.0
470114.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34410100150200250300044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4707
#33
18.22.5
12.3→9.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.3
End0.0
blue by 19.6
343
#13
37.80.1
24.8→24.9
Auto1.7
Teleop36.1
End0.0
Second
4749
#49
16.62.5
14.7→12.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.7
End0.0
red by 2.4
4701
#43
14.30.2
5.9→6.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.3
End0.0
Third
4080
#58
10.42.5
9.4→6.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.4
End0.0
red by 1.4
5536
#59
9.00.1
11.0→11.1
Auto0.1
Teleop8.9
End0.0