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Red66
401323.6
510917.6
529316.3
Blue67
563215.0
507416.4
571715.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions521904060801001201406667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4013
#24
23.60.9
16.917.8
Auto0.0
Teleop23.6
End0.0
red by 7.2
5074
#30
16.43.5
6.910.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Second
5109
#35
17.60.9
21.622.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 1.8
5717
#40
15.83.5
6.49.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.8
End0.0
Third
5293
#42
16.31.4
10.211.6
Auto0.0
Teleop16.3
End0.0
red by 1.3
5632
#25
15.03.5
11.615.1
Auto0.9
Teleop14.1
End0.0