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Red107
418937.9
558210.5
450922.6
Blue120
174631.7
533227.0
141429.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61540204080100120107120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.92.2
29.531.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop38.0
End0.0
red by 6.1
1746
#17
31.73.2
24.427.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop31.8
End0.0
Second
4509
#11
22.63.7
24.528.2
Auto0.0
Teleop22.6
End0.0
blue by 7.0
29.65.3
9.915.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop29.7
End0.0
Third
5582
#39
10.53.7
8.111.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.5
End0.0
blue by 16.5
5332
#16
27.03.2
22.525.6
Auto0.1
Teleop26.9
End0.0