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Red32
419513.0
402620.1
513217.8
Blue86
313924.8
418831.0
408010.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383302060803286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4026
#21
20.10.3
14.114.4
Auto0.5
Teleop19.6
End0.0
blue by 10.9
31.02.5
14.417.0
Auto0.1
Teleop30.9
End0.0
Second
5132
#31
17.80.5
15.616.0
Auto0.5
Teleop17.3
End0.0
blue by 7.0
3139
#10
24.84.2
14.018.2
Auto0.0
Teleop24.8
End0.0
Third
4195
#50
13.00.5
8.79.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.1
End0.0
red by 2.6
4080
#58
10.44.2
6.811.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.4
End0.0