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Red122
507416.4
28332.5
418937.9
Blue101
504518.2
503413.9
29738.8
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7416050100150200122101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.92.7
33.736.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop38.0
End0.0
red by 19.7
5045
#23
18.26.3
12.618.9
Auto0.1
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Second
283
#4
32.52.7
23.826.5
Auto0.6
Teleop31.9
End0.0
red by 18.7
5034
#51
13.96.3
6.412.6
Auto0.0
Teleop13.9
End0.0
Third
5074
#30
16.44.5
9.914.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.4
End0.0
red by 7.6
2973
#47
8.83.8
6.710.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.9
End0.0