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Red16
510917.6
470718.2
17716.8
Blue20
39763.9
419513.0
369414.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions511804060801001201401601620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4707
#33
18.22.7
12.69.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.3
End0.0
red by 3.6
3694
#46
14.70.2
13.713.5
Auto0.1
Teleop14.6
End0.0
Second
5109
#35
17.61.6
21.920.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 4.6
4195
#50
13.00.4
9.69.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.1
End0.0
Third
1771
#61
6.82.7
13.510.8
Auto0.1
Teleop6.7
End0.0
red by 2.9
3976
#56
3.90.2
1.00.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop4.0
End0.0