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Red18
341020.1
32652.9
504518.2
Blue10
500510.9
450922.6
55369.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464610203040501810

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3410
#38
20.11.5
22.721.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.3
End0.0
blue by 2.5
4509
#11
22.62.6
25.022.3
Auto0.0
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Second
5045
#23
18.22.5
18.916.4
Auto0.1
Teleop18.0
End0.0
red by 7.2
5005
#55
10.92.6
11.89.2
Auto0.0
Teleop10.9
End0.0
Third
3265
#65
2.92.5
6.54.0
Auto0.0
Teleop2.9
End0.0
blue by 6.0
5536
#59
9.01.6
10.89.2
Auto0.1
Teleop8.9
End0.0