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Red91
402620.1
131942.9
402024.5
Blue97
571715.8
533227.0
541020.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions765201001509197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.90.8
40.441.2
Auto0.1
Teleop42.8
End0.0
red by 15.9
5332
#16
27.02.0
25.927.9
Auto0.1
Teleop26.9
End0.0
Second
4020
#12
24.51.3
18.519.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.6
End0.0
red by 3.9
5410
#37
20.62.0
19.921.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop20.9
End0.0
Third
4026
#21
20.10.8
16.217.0
Auto0.5
Teleop19.6
End0.0
red by 4.3
5717
#40
15.83.3
11.414.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.8
End0.0