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Red65
470114.3
141429.6
414810.0
Blue91
241535.1
548214.0
560829.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37640501001502006591

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.62.2
23.025.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop29.7
End0.0
blue by 5.4
2415
#18
35.11.4
30.632.0
Auto0.1
Teleop35.0
End0.0
Second
4701
#43
14.32.2
12.114.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.3
End0.0
blue by 15.4
5608
#14
29.62.2
20.022.2
Auto0.0
Teleop29.6
End0.0
Third
4148
#52
10.02.2
7.810.0
Auto0.1
Teleop9.9
End0.0
blue by 4.0
5482
#41
14.02.2
11.814.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.1
End0.0