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Qual 872015 Peachtree Regional
Red92
139811.5
297453.8
450922.6
Blue70
503413.9
401323.6
474916.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92370501502009270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2974
#3
53.80.2
53.5→53.8
Auto0.0
Teleop53.8
End0.0
red by 30.2
4013
#24
23.61.7
22.2→23.9
Auto0.0
Teleop23.6
End0.0
Second
4509
#11
22.60.4
22.3→22.7
Auto0.0
Teleop22.6
End0.0
red by 6.0
4749
#49
16.62.7
13.9→16.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.7
End0.0
Third
1398
#27
11.50.2
11.3→11.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 2.4
5034
#51
13.92.7
11.2→13.9
Auto0.0
Teleop13.9
End0.0