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Red4
331823.1
49107.9
241545.2
Blue34
494115.2
11272.0
418937.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78490100150434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2415
Unranked
45.20.0
45.245.2
Auto0.4
Teleop44.8
End0.0
red by 7.3
4189
Unranked
37.90.0
37.937.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop38.0
End0.0
Second
3318
Unranked
23.10.0
23.123.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop23.2
End0.0
red by 8.0
4941
Unranked
15.20.0
15.215.2
Auto0.2
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Third
4910
Unranked
7.90.0
7.97.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.9
End0.0
red by 5.9
1127
Unranked
2.00.0
2.02.0
Auto0.1
Teleop1.9
End0.0