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Red14
35819.3
100224.4
474916.6
Blue80
42409.9
297458.2
58408.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions438001001502001480

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1002
Unranked
24.40.0
24.424.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.5
End0.0
blue by 33.8
2974
Unranked
58.20.0
58.258.2
Auto0.4
Teleop57.9
End0.0
Second
4749
Unranked
16.60.0
16.616.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.7
End0.0
red by 6.8
4240
Unranked
9.90.0
9.99.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.0
End0.0
Third
3581
Unranked
9.30.0
9.39.3
Auto0.2
Teleop9.0
End0.0
red by 0.7
5840
Unranked
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto0.2
Teleop8.4
End0.0