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Red203
33075.3
2056104.7
394442.3
Blue173
169074.6
2759.0
38448.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions224168100150200250300203173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
104.70.3
105.0104.7
Auto12.1
Teleop92.6
End0.0
red by 30.1
74.60.2
74.874.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop75.1
End0.0
Second
330
#11
75.30.3
75.675.3
Auto2.7
Teleop72.6
End0.0
red by 16.3
27
#7
59.00.2
59.259.0
Auto0.4
Teleop58.7
End0.0
Third
3944
#30
42.30.3
42.642.3
Auto-2.2
Teleop44.5
End0.0
blue by 6.4
384
#17
48.70.2
48.948.7
Auto0.0
Teleop48.7
End0.0