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Red118
172647.6
245155.5
21944.3
Blue157
169074.6
542920.7
511434.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132128100110120140150160170118157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2451
#18
55.50.6
54.854.2
Auto0.9
Teleop54.5
End0.0
blue by 19.1
74.61.2
73.374.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop75.1
End0.0
Second
1726
#13
47.60.6
36.135.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop47.7
End0.0
red by 12.8
5114
#50
34.81.2
38.840.0
Auto-0.8
Teleop35.6
End0.0
Third
219
#48
44.30.6
45.645.0
Auto0.0
Teleop44.3
End0.0
red by 23.6
5429
#68
20.71.2
21.422.5
Auto0.3
Teleop20.4
End0.0