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Red109
437323.5
471952.4
101126.4
Blue121
56829.9
378749.1
546044.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100112050150200250300350400109121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4719
#16
52.40.2
55.755.9
Auto0.3
Teleop52.1
End0.0
red by 3.3
3787
#15
49.10.3
45.445.8
Auto0.6
Teleop48.5
End0.0
Second
1011
#52
26.40.2
25.225.4
Auto0.3
Teleop26.2
End0.0
blue by 18.1
5460
#24
44.50.3
41.641.9
Auto0.3
Teleop44.2
End0.0
Third
4373
#53
23.50.2
24.925.0
Auto0.3
Teleop23.2
End0.0
blue by 6.4
568
#43
29.90.3
27.327.6
Auto0.7
Teleop29.1
End0.0