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Red98
190225.3
11146.8
394442.3
Blue138
555435.7
161974.6
49246.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11016105020025098138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#31
46.81.2
53.352.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop47.1
End0.0
blue by 27.8
1619
#12
74.61.0
74.873.7
Auto0.8
Teleop73.8
End0.0
Second
3944
#30
42.31.2
42.341.0
Auto-2.2
Teleop44.5
End0.0
blue by 4.4
492
#27
46.71.0
49.548.4
Auto0.2
Teleop46.5
End0.0
Third
1902
#56
25.31.2
27.025.7
Auto0.0
Teleop25.3
End0.0
blue by 10.4
5554
#41
35.71.0
34.333.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop35.9
End0.0