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Red140
24548.1
60428.0
118964.4
Blue149
52586.5
154717.9
317523.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1369350150200140149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1189
#34
64.40.3
66.366.7
Auto1.0
Teleop63.4
End0.0
blue by 22.1
525
#3
86.52.3
72.674.9
Auto0.1
Teleop86.4
End0.0
Second
245
#32
48.10.3
45.946.2
Auto0.8
Teleop47.4
End0.0
red by 24.3
3175
#60
23.82.3
16.719.0
Auto-0.7
Teleop24.5
End0.0
Third
604
#42
28.00.3
21.722.0
Auto0.1
Teleop27.9
End0.0
red by 10.1
1547
#66
17.92.3
14.216.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.0
End0.0