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Red139
437323.5
361857.8
169074.6
Blue130
177718.2
377035.5
33075.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15811150200250139130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.60.9
74.573.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop75.1
End0.0
blue by 0.7
330
#11
75.30.4
72.472.8
Auto2.7
Teleop72.6
End0.0
Second
57.80.9
51.850.9
Auto1.1
Teleop56.6
End0.0
red by 22.3
3770
#58
35.50.4
31.131.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop35.5
End0.0
Third
4373
#53
23.50.9
30.029.1
Auto0.3
Teleop23.2
End0.0
red by 5.2
1777
#65
18.20.4
19.219.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.3
End0.0