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Red68
38448.7
511434.8
394442.3
Blue71
377035.5
314226.2
101126.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115830501001502006871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
#17
48.72.1
38.936.8
Auto0.0
Teleop48.7
End0.0
red by 13.3
3770
#58
35.51.0
31.430.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop35.5
End0.0
Second
3944
#30
42.31.7
37.736.0
Auto-2.2
Teleop44.5
End0.0
red by 15.8
1011
#52
26.41.0
31.530.5
Auto0.3
Teleop26.2
End0.0
Third
5114
#50
34.81.7
37.736.0
Auto-0.8
Teleop35.6
End0.0
red by 8.6
3142
#59
26.21.0
28.127.1
Auto0.7
Teleop25.5
End0.0