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Red166
205250.2
147726.9
314657.4
Blue163
56829.9
36553.7
2759.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138118100150200166163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3146
#21
57.41.3
53.554.8
Auto0.1
Teleop57.3
End0.0
blue by 1.6
27
#7
59.01.9
57.659.5
Auto0.4
Teleop58.7
End0.0
Second
2052
#33
50.21.3
48.649.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop50.4
End0.0
blue by 3.5
365
#9
53.71.9
46.748.5
Auto1.6
Teleop52.1
End0.0
Third
1477
#54
26.91.3
37.839.1
Auto0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
blue by 3.0
568
#43
29.91.9
21.323.1
Auto0.7
Teleop29.1
End0.0