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Red130
314657.4
164934.0
24548.1
Blue125
302617.2
4535.8
378749.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12681050100150200130125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3146
#21
57.40.6
54.855.5
Auto0.1
Teleop57.3
End0.0
red by 8.3
3787
#15
49.11.7
42.944.6
Auto0.6
Teleop48.5
End0.0
Second
245
#32
48.10.6
41.742.3
Auto0.8
Teleop47.4
End0.0
red by 12.3
45
#38
35.81.7
35.737.5
Auto1.2
Teleop34.6
End0.0
Third
1649
#23
34.00.6
26.527.2
Auto0.8
Teleop33.2
End0.0
red by 16.8
3026
#72
17.21.7
12.113.8
Auto0.4
Teleop16.7
End0.0