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Red56
10215.5
542920.7
147726.9
Blue97
159556.7
54216.7
521639.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77960501502002503005697

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#54
26.91.3
39.137.7
Auto0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
blue by 29.8
1595
#37
56.70.0
53.253.2
Auto1.2
Teleop55.5
End0.0
Second
5429
#68
20.71.3
25.624.3
Auto0.3
Teleop20.4
End0.0
blue by 19.2
5216
#49
39.90.0
33.933.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop40.2
End0.0
Third
102
#71
15.51.3
18.116.8
Auto0.4
Teleop15.1
End0.0
red by 8.8
5421
#74
6.70.0
9.39.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.9
End0.0