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Red132
492015.7
314226.2
216856.9
Blue147
11146.8
554115.6
367449.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8498050150200250300350132147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2168
#20
56.92.2
51.253.4
Auto-0.7
Teleop57.6
End0.0
red by 7.9
3674
#45
49.02.7
47.550.2
Auto-0.7
Teleop49.7
End0.0
Second
3142
#59
26.22.2
27.129.3
Auto0.7
Teleop25.5
End0.0
blue by 20.6
111
#31
46.82.7
43.045.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop47.1
End0.0
Third
4920
#63
15.72.2
10.512.7
Auto0.1
Teleop15.6
End0.0
red by 0.1
5541
#67
15.62.7
8.411.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.8
End0.0